RT Book, Section A1 Alba, Ana Carolina A1 Agoritsas, Thomas A1 Walsh, Michael A1 Hanna, Steven A1 Iorio, Alfonso A1 Devereaux, P. J. A1 McGinn, Thomas A1 Guyatt, Gordon A2 Guyatt, Gordon A2 Rennie, Drummond A2 Meade, Maureen O. A2 Cook, Deborah J. SR Print(0) ID 1183877724 T1 Discrimination and Calibration of Clinical Prediction Models T2 Users' Guides to the Medical Literature: A Manual for Evidence-Based Clinical Practice, 3rd ed YR 2015 FD 2015 PB McGraw-Hill Education PP New York, NY SN 978-0-07-179071-0 LK jamaevidence.mhmedical.com/content.aspx?aid=1183877724 RD 2024/04/19 AB You are a general internist seeing an ambulatory consult. This new patient is a 54-year-old male with a history of hypertension treated with calcium channel blockers. He smokes and has a sedentary lifestyle but has not had any previous cardiovascular events. What is the risk of a cardiovascular event for this patient? Recent laboratory results show normal levels of total cholesterol (198 mg/dL) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (138 mg/dL), but a decreased level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (39 mg/dL). On physical examination, his systolic and diastolic blood pressure is 130 mm Hg and 80 mm Hg, respectively. Based on this information and using an online tool (Pooled Cohort Equations [modified from the Framingham risk score, which is recommended by the American Heart Association]), you calculate his risk of a cardiovascular event (myocardial infarction, stroke, or death due to coronary artery disease) to be 12.4% at 10 years.1 Given this risk, current US, European, and Canadian guidelines recommend smoking cessation, regular physical activity, and initiation of statin therapy for primary prevention.2